← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.07+5.75vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.70+2.91vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.33+3.00vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.11+2.72vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.94+2.35vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.69+2.03vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University1.63+1.18vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.43-4.68vs Predicted
-
9Boston College2.13-2.38vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island1.78-2.14vs Predicted
-
11McGill University0.52+0.25vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.75-6.92vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.12vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy0.27-2.28vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.75Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
-
4.91Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
-
6.0Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
-
7.35Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.03Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
-
8.18Northeastern University1.630.1%1st Place
-
3.32Yale University3.430.3%1st Place
-
6.62Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.86University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
-
11.25McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
-
5.08Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
11.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.72Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
14.34University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micky Munns | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Tellini | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 25.5% | 20.2% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 21.2% | 6.6% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 11.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 11.8% | 22.3% | 29.0% | 8.3% |
| Luke Healy | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 27.0% | 7.7% |
| David Swan | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.