Race 14B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Micky Munns 7.7% 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 7.5% 9.4% 10.6% 7.9% 9.1% 7.2% 5.6% 2.6% 1.5% 0.1%
John Walton 6.3% 10.1% 11.1% 9.3% 10.0% 9.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.9% 7.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Teddy Nicolosi 25.4% 20.5% 16.6% 11.9% 9.1% 8.1% 3.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Ascencios 13.7% 13.0% 12.5% 11.2% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 7.9% 4.1% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Ness 7.0% 7.5% 7.3% 7.6% 7.8% 9.3% 9.8% 10.5% 9.2% 7.6% 7.8% 5.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Elizabeth Kaplan 11.4% 12.2% 11.5% 12.4% 11.8% 10.5% 9.5% 6.7% 4.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Wells Drayton 6.6% 5.0% 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 10.1% 8.6% 9.3% 10.5% 8.0% 7.5% 4.1% 0.8% 0.2%
Connell Phillipps 6.4% 7.0% 8.5% 7.6% 10.1% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 8.5% 8.4% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Christopher Pearson 3.9% 5.4% 5.5% 6.7% 7.1% 8.5% 9.0% 7.9% 11.5% 9.2% 10.1% 9.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2%
Santiago Hirschmann 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 6.8% 12.6% 9.5% 11.6% 10.3% 7.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Michael Tellini 4.2% 5.8% 4.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 9.1% 7.4% 11.7% 9.9% 9.9% 6.6% 2.5% 1.0%
Luke Healy 1.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 2.9% 3.5% 4.7% 9.5% 11.8% 22.0% 28.9% 7.5%
Alec Bodenski 0.4% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 1.3% 3.3% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 4.5% 6.4% 11.0% 21.8% 29.7% 8.4%
Adele DesBrisay 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 4.2% 6.3% 6.7% 8.2% 15.4% 20.8% 20.7% 4.2%
David Swan 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 1.0% 1.4% 2.7% 4.3% 9.9% 77.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.