← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.30vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University1.22+6.86vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.09+3.00vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.38+0.96vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.02+1.18vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.99+0.80vs Predicted
-
7Maine Maritime Academy0.15+5.78vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.13+1.22vs Predicted
-
9University of Wisconsin0.70+2.16vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.14-1.20vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.97-4.04vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.93-1.51vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.39vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University0.71-2.64vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.48-3.29vs Predicted
-
16North Carolina State University0.01-2.85vs Predicted
-
17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.048.4%1st Place
-
8.86Northeastern University1.224.5%1st Place
-
6.0Boston College2.0911.0%1st Place
-
4.96Cornell University2.3814.8%1st Place
-
6.18Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
-
6.8Brown University1.998.0%1st Place
-
12.78Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
-
9.22Bowdoin College1.134.5%1st Place
-
11.16University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
-
8.8Boston University1.144.5%1st Place
-
6.96Roger Williams University1.977.8%1st Place
-
10.49George Washington University0.933.9%1st Place
-
6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.4%1st Place
-
11.36Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
-
11.71University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
-
13.15North Carolina State University0.011.2%1st Place
-
10.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 21.9% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 7.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 27.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.