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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+3.85vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.52+9.06vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.63+5.09vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.70+1.03vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+1.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+0.06vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-3.72vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.11-1.25vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.07-2.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.94-2.66vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.69-2.93vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.27-0.04vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.08vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.78-6.31vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.61-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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11.06McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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8.09Northeastern University1.630.0%1st Place
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5.03Bowdoin College2.700.1%1st Place
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6.74Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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3.28Yale University3.430.2%1st Place
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6.75University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston University2.070.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.96Maine Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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11.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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14.37University of New Hampshire-1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adele DesBrisay | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 5.4% |
| Santiago Hirschmann | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Kaplan | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 24.8% | 22.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Micky Munns | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Tellini | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Luke Healy | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 30.4% | 7.4% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 22.9% | 29.6% | 8.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| David Swan | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 11.0% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.