Race 16B

nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Wells Drayton 6.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.6% 6.5% 8.4% 8.8% 9.4% 8.1% 10.7% 8.5% 6.4% 3.5% 1.9% 0.2%
Graham Ness 7.2% 7.3% 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 8.8% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 8.4% 6.0% 5.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
John Walton 8.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.6% 9.3% 10.3% 10.9% 7.5% 9.4% 6.0% 6.2% 2.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Santiago Hirschmann 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 6.1% 5.5% 7.1% 6.6% 9.5% 9.1% 10.2% 10.8% 10.9% 6.7% 3.2% 0.3%
Elizabeth Kaplan 11.4% 13.7% 10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 9.9% 11.1% 6.1% 5.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Connell Phillipps 5.6% 8.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 10.3% 8.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.6% 7.1% 5.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0%
Teddy Nicolosi 27.3% 18.8% 15.8% 11.8% 9.7% 5.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Tellini 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 5.8% 7.6% 6.4% 7.5% 8.2% 9.8% 8.2% 12.0% 10.8% 5.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Adele DesBrisay 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 2.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.8% 8.0% 9.4% 15.4% 22.3% 17.8% 5.0%
Micky Munns 6.2% 5.6% 7.3% 7.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.1% 11.2% 9.6% 7.9% 8.3% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 5.0% 5.1% 5.9% 6.7% 6.6% 8.3% 6.8% 10.3% 7.8% 10.1% 10.2% 8.6% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Dylan Ascencios 11.3% 11.8% 12.9% 12.7% 10.0% 9.2% 10.2% 6.3% 6.2% 5.2% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Luke Healy 0.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 5.1% 6.3% 12.1% 20.2% 30.9% 8.0%
Alec Bodenski 1.0% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 7.7% 12.7% 19.6% 28.6% 8.2%
David Swan 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.4% 2.0% 6.1% 9.4% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.