Race 1A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lolly Vasilion 10.0% 9.8% 10.4% 9.9% 8.9% 10.2% 7.8% 9.5% 6.7% 5.3% 4.7% 3.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Meredith Julian 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 5.0% 7.4% 5.6% 8.9% 6.7% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1% 11.2% 8.2% 4.3% 0.9%
Megan Grimes 11.9% 11.4% 12.6% 10.3% 8.8% 11.1% 8.2% 7.9% 7.7% 3.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Delaney Bamford 12.0% 12.6% 11.6% 10.3% 9.1% 9.2% 9.7% 8.2% 6.4% 4.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 4.8% 6.8% 5.1% 6.0% 5.7% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 10.9% 9.1% 6.7% 3.4% 0.5%
Emma AuBuchon 6.6% 7.1% 5.9% 6.2% 8.5% 9.7% 7.8% 10.0% 9.5% 8.7% 6.8% 6.1% 4.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Olivia Belda 19.8% 18.0% 16.8% 12.1% 9.5% 7.4% 5.7% 5.2% 1.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 7.6% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 13.4% 6.5% 1.6%
Madeline Pope 3.5% 3.9% 4.9% 4.8% 7.2% 7.8% 7.0% 7.7% 9.3% 8.0% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 3.2% 0.7%
Caroline King 4.2% 4.2% 3.8% 6.2% 6.4% 6.9% 8.5% 7.1% 8.2% 10.3% 8.6% 11.9% 7.7% 5.1% 0.9%
Sarah Burn 11.6% 11.9% 9.9% 12.1% 9.8% 6.9% 8.6% 8.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.9% 2.3% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Carina Becker 4.7% 4.0% 5.6% 6.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 7.0% 9.1% 10.5% 11.1% 8.8% 7.3% 2.8% 0.3%
Adeline Schoen 2.2% 2.7% 2.2% 4.1% 4.1% 3.9% 4.2% 5.1% 5.8% 7.4% 9.1% 14.4% 17.8% 13.3% 3.7%
Julianna Bennett 0.6% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 3.4% 7.0% 24.6% 53.7%
Abigail Lenox 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 11.1% 31.7% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.