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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+7.89vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+1.76vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+2.38vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+4.50vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+2.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-0.75vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13-1.14vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.31-2.60vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83+0.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-2.76vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34-2.55vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-3.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-4.94vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.25vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.62-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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3.76Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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5.38Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.86University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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5.4Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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13.75University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.15Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 21.8% | 20.6% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.3% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Carina Becker | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 10.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 17.8% | 10.7% | 2.7% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Caroline King | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 23.4% | 53.6% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 33.4% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.