Race 5A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Sarah Burn 12.3% 10.6% 11.8% 10.1% 10.2% 10.5% 8.3% 7.4% 6.7% 4.3% 3.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Delaney Bamford 11.1% 15.2% 12.1% 9.6% 11.1% 9.0% 7.3% 6.8% 6.8% 4.5% 3.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Olivia Belda 20.8% 17.1% 14.6% 12.5% 11.7% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Grimes 11.8% 11.2% 12.5% 10.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 6.4% 4.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 3.8% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 9.4% 10.0% 12.1% 12.8% 7.3% 1.2%
Carina Becker 4.8% 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 6.3% 8.3% 7.7% 9.5% 9.0% 10.3% 8.1% 9.3% 7.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Emma AuBuchon 7.3% 5.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 7.5% 9.3% 9.0% 9.4% 8.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2%
Lolly Vasilion 9.2% 9.9% 9.9% 9.0% 10.1% 9.6% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 6.1% 4.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Adeline Schoen 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 3.1% 3.5% 6.1% 7.4% 6.9% 8.0% 11.6% 10.8% 17.8% 10.7% 3.1%
Caroline King 4.1% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.4% 8.9% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 9.8% 7.2% 5.1% 1.1%
Charlotte Lenz 4.9% 6.4% 4.9% 7.1% 7.4% 7.5% 8.1% 6.8% 7.7% 9.2% 8.7% 8.7% 7.7% 4.2% 0.7%
Madeline Pope 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 6.3% 7.2% 9.1% 9.3% 10.6% 11.1% 11.3% 4.6% 0.8%
Meredith Julian 3.5% 4.6% 4.0% 6.1% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 5.4% 7.1% 10.5% 11.9% 11.6% 10.0% 6.0% 1.1%
Julianna Bennett 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.8% 7.8% 23.9% 53.8%
Abigail Lenox 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 4.6% 9.2% 32.6% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.