Race 6A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Olivia Belda 21.2% 18.6% 14.1% 12.5% 9.1% 7.8% 6.1% 3.6% 3.8% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lolly Vasilion 10.3% 9.8% 11.4% 10.2% 8.9% 10.1% 7.7% 7.5% 6.9% 6.0% 4.8% 3.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Delaney Bamford 11.7% 11.8% 11.7% 11.7% 10.1% 11.0% 7.6% 8.9% 5.1% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 3.0% 4.2% 3.6% 5.2% 4.9% 6.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 12.4% 12.3% 7.1% 1.4%
Megan Grimes 11.5% 11.9% 8.5% 10.4% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.8% 4.5% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.7% 5.6% 6.7% 8.6% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 10.6% 10.1% 4.4% 0.8%
Caroline King 5.4% 4.4% 5.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.3% 8.0% 9.1% 7.6% 9.5% 10.1% 9.2% 8.8% 4.0% 1.0%
Carina Becker 4.9% 5.1% 7.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 6.2% 3.1% 0.6%
Charlotte Lenz 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.5% 6.6% 8.3% 7.8% 8.7% 8.6% 9.9% 9.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7%
Meredith Julian 3.8% 4.1% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 8.3% 6.2% 7.9% 8.2% 10.6% 10.5% 8.7% 10.5% 5.6% 1.2%
Sarah Burn 11.4% 12.3% 10.8% 10.1% 10.2% 8.7% 8.5% 5.5% 7.4% 6.4% 4.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Adeline Schoen 2.6% 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 4.4% 4.2% 5.6% 6.6% 5.0% 9.4% 8.1% 13.1% 20.5% 11.7% 3.1%
Emma AuBuchon 5.5% 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.3% 6.7% 8.0% 7.7% 10.5% 10.5% 9.5% 7.1% 4.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Abigail Lenox 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 6.2% 9.6% 32.2% 37.0%
Julianna Bennett 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 0.8% 2.3% 3.0% 6.6% 25.0% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.