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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.31+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+3.09vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.89+0.78vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+3.83vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+2.84vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.13-0.06vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.34+1.41vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-0.80vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.30-4.49vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-2.38vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.83-1.82vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.62+0.30vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-5.76vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.78Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.94University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University1.340.1%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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9.04Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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13.3Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.24Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.67University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grimes | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.5% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Belda | 21.2% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Carina Becker | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 19.3% | 12.0% | 2.5% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 34.2% | 37.7% |
| Caroline King | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 25.7% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.