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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.13+4.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+5.45vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.83+6.00vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.52+2.92vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36-0.76vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31-1.64vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-2.53vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14+0.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.89-6.10vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.34-2.51vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-3.49vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College-0.62+0.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.55-6.28vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.92University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.1%1st Place
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10.0Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.36Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.47Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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3.9Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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13.26Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.72Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lolly Vasilion | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Julian | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 12.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 19.6% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Pope | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Caroline King | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 33.8% | 37.3% |
| Carina Becker | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 27.0% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.