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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+4.97vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+4.50vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+5.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+0.94vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+3.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.28vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-0.95vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71+3.48vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.66vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.12vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15+0.68vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-5.92vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-3.27vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-5.81vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-4.76vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.01-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Tulane University2.0211.3%1st Place
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6.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.9%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University1.226.1%1st Place
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4.94Cornell University2.3814.0%1st Place
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8.61Boston University1.145.4%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.047.0%1st Place
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6.05Boston College2.0910.7%1st Place
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11.48Fordham University0.712.3%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.997.3%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont0.482.8%1st Place
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10.88Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.5%1st Place
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12.68Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.978.9%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University0.932.5%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College1.134.3%1st Place
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11.24University of Wisconsin0.702.5%1st Place
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13.2North Carolina State University0.011.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samantha Gardner | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Bridget Green | 14.0% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 23.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.