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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+7.52vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.51+2.75vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+6.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+6.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.62vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+2.42vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.90+3.62vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.77vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.32+5.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.68-3.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.39-3.03vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.79-6.05vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-5.24vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.22-5.72vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.67-8.40vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-1.96vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-4.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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4.75Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.36Yale University3.290.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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10.62Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.64Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.97Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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6.95Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.76University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.28College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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15.04Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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13.16Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mayumi Roller | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.7% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Billing | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Briana Provancha | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Barch | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 20.2% | 44.9% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Abby Featherstone | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Corey Hall | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 23.5% | 31.7% |
| Ryann Hall | 2.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.