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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.14+7.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.89+1.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+2.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+3.83vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+0.49vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31-0.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30+1.48vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13-2.07vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-0.80vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.83+0.05vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74-3.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.34-3.34vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.55-5.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College-0.62-0.77vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.99-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.88Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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3.75Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.2Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.05Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.99Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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13.23Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Cunningham | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 21.5% | 19.2% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Adeline Schoen | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Pope | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Carina Becker | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 33.3% | 36.7% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 24.8% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.