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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+4.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.31+3.27vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+2.35vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+5.01vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+2.19vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.89-2.20vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.55+0.72vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13-2.11vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.83+0.93vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.34-1.46vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-2.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.52-3.88vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.30-4.26vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.99-0.26vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.62-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.19University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.27Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.35Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.01Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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3.8Brown University2.890.2%1st Place
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7.72Boston University1.550.1%1st Place
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5.89University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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8.33Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.300.0%1st Place
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13.74University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaney Bamford | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grimes | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Belda | 20.3% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carina Becker | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Schoen | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Caroline King | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Meredith Julian | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 23.5% | 54.1% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 9.8% | 33.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.