Race 12A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Victoria Pajak 7.4% 6.4% 5.9% 7.7% 7.4% 7.0% 6.3% 7.9% 7.7% 6.7% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 4.3% 0.7%
Rachel Foster 11.4% 13.7% 10.7% 9.9% 10.5% 9.3% 6.6% 7.7% 6.6% 4.4% 3.8% 3.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 4.4% 6.6% 5.2% 7.6% 5.3% 7.7% 9.2% 10.3% 11.6% 11.1% 6.2% 0.7%
Megan Grimes 11.4% 12.9% 11.0% 10.6% 7.9% 9.8% 6.8% 7.8% 7.5% 5.0% 4.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 4.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 3.8% 5.5% 5.9% 5.8% 6.0% 7.8% 9.5% 12.0% 16.5% 8.9% 1.8%
Charlotte Lenz 4.7% 6.1% 5.2% 5.4% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.8% 9.3% 2.6% 0.6%
Lolly Vasilion 10.6% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 8.5% 7.9% 8.2% 6.9% 6.7% 4.2% 5.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 12.4% 9.8% 12.1% 9.7% 8.0% 9.2% 9.6% 6.4% 6.7% 6.0% 5.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Emma AuBuchon 6.2% 5.7% 7.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.4% 8.4% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 6.0% 2.1% 0.1%
Lulu Russell 6.2% 5.9% 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.8% 7.3% 8.9% 9.2% 6.8% 7.1% 6.3% 2.5% 0.4%
Julianna Bennett 0.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 3.4% 5.9% 25.2% 56.2%
Caroline King 4.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.9% 7.0% 5.8% 6.3% 7.8% 6.4% 9.7% 10.4% 11.0% 12.1% 6.1% 0.7%
Delaney Bamford 11.2% 11.9% 8.9% 10.4% 9.2% 9.1% 8.7% 9.9% 7.3% 5.0% 4.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Carina Becker 4.7% 5.8% 7.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.3% 9.7% 9.6% 8.9% 3.5% 0.6%
Abigail Lenox 0.7% 0.2% 1.0% 0.9% 0.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.9% 4.0% 7.8% 35.4% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.