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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.64+6.56vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.74+5.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.31+2.45vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+4.43vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+0.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.55+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.13-1.03vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76-0.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52-1.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.14-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.99+2.84vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-6.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.30-7.22vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.34-5.37vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-0.62-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.56Northeastern University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.740.1%1st Place
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5.45Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.43Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.01Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.37Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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13.84University of New Hampshire-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University1.340.0%1st Place
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13.32Connecticut College-0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Pajak | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grimes | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 11.8% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carina Becker | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 11.6% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 0.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 1.6% |
| Julianna Bennett | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 25.4% | 56.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Pope | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Abigail Lenox | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 36.7% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.