Race 15A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lolly Vasilion 10.7% 9.9% 10.8% 8.9% 9.1% 7.5% 9.1% 8.5% 6.3% 5.8% 5.8% 3.0% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Sarah Burn 12.4% 12.2% 11.6% 9.9% 11.1% 7.7% 7.6% 7.4% 5.0% 5.7% 4.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Victoria Pajak 6.0% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 6.3% 7.9% 6.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.4% 10.1% 7.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.4%
Carina Becker 5.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.6% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 6.8% 7.9% 7.8% 8.5% 11.0% 7.3% 5.1% 0.4%
Teagan Cunningham 3.5% 4.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 5.5% 7.8% 6.9% 8.7% 13.9% 15.9% 8.9% 1.6%
Charlotte Lenz 4.6% 6.7% 5.6% 4.3% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 9.7% 7.7% 10.8% 9.0% 9.7% 3.1% 0.6%
Delaney Bamford 13.6% 9.6% 12.0% 11.9% 9.6% 9.1% 9.1% 6.6% 5.5% 4.6% 3.7% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Madeline Pope 4.3% 4.0% 4.8% 6.1% 5.5% 6.9% 5.0% 6.4% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 10.3% 12.4% 5.5% 1.7%
Caroline King 4.0% 5.0% 4.1% 5.7% 7.3% 6.4% 6.8% 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 10.0% 9.5% 12.6% 4.0% 1.1%
Lulu Russell 5.7% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 8.7% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.8% 9.2% 7.6% 6.6% 5.9% 3.2% 0.3%
Megan Grimes 11.4% 12.9% 12.1% 8.7% 7.9% 9.6% 8.4% 5.6% 7.4% 6.0% 4.4% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma AuBuchon 5.8% 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.4% 8.7% 6.9% 8.7% 8.7% 10.3% 6.4% 2.1% 0.3%
Rachel Foster 11.5% 9.5% 9.6% 10.1% 8.4% 9.8% 8.1% 9.5% 6.9% 7.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Abigail Lenox 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 4.6% 8.7% 35.6% 37.6%
Julianna Bennett 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.4% 5.1% 26.6% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.