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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.75+5.34vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28+1.72vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+2.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.14+3.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15-0.82vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.13+1.33vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35-0.25vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.07-0.43vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-1.04+3.73vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-5.00vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-3.42vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.67-2.89vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.07-5.41vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.34Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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4.72Brown University2.280.2%1st Place
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6.23Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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8.57Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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13.73Connecticut College-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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8.58Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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8.59Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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12.35University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Slack | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 11.5% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 15.3% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lera Anders | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lau | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.3% |
| Norah Deming | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 60.9% |
| Grace Gear | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 5.5% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 29.8% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.