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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.75+5.53vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.28vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.89+3.01vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+2.44vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15-0.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14+1.68vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.07+0.95vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.07-0.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35-1.95vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.16-2.37vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.13-3.02vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.32-0.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.73-3.96vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.44Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.91Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.0%1st Place
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8.63Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.04Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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10.2Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Slack | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Emma Snead | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lera Anders | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 4.3% |
| Emily Lau | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 51.7% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 9.8% |
| Ashley Arruda | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.