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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.45+6.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+5.57vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+7.42vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.51vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.20+3.50vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.93+2.68vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.53+3.23vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.73+1.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.71+0.83vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.74-4.44vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.02-2.33vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-3.17vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-7.23vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.71vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.11-3.02vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.79-0.59vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.70-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.42Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.51Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.97Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.68University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.51Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.83U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.56Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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6.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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7.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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12.98Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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16.41University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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10.51University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Emily Maxwell | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 4.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 19.1% | 11.7% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 65.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.