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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University0.71+10.15vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.14+6.68vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+3.02vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.13+5.26vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38-0.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.04+1.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.99-0.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.09-3.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-4.37vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.01+1.18vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.15-0.22vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-6.92vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-3.72vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.43vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-6.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.15Fordham University0.712.2%1st Place
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8.68Boston University1.145.5%1st Place
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6.02Tulane University2.0210.0%1st Place
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9.26Bowdoin College1.134.8%1st Place
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4.94Cornell University2.3814.7%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy2.048.0%1st Place
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6.85Brown University1.998.3%1st Place
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8.8Northeastern University1.225.9%1st Place
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5.86Boston College2.0910.3%1st Place
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11.74University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.2%1st Place
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13.18North Carolina State University0.011.1%1st Place
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12.78Maine Maritime Academy0.151.9%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University1.977.7%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin0.702.5%1st Place
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10.57George Washington University0.933.1%1st Place
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10.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Bridget Green | 14.7% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 27.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 20.9% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.