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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+3.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+3.34vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.15+1.35vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.75+1.69vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.13+2.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.07+1.83vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.89-2.97vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.07-0.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35-2.95vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73-1.72vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.16-4.12vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.67-3.78vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.35University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.69Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.83Harvard University1.070.1%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.88Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.72University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.8% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 12.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Rebecca Read | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Grace Woodcock | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 4.6% |
| Lera Anders | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Grace Gear | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lau | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 10.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 12.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.