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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+4.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.07+6.42vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.07+5.53vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+1.02vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+0.22vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+0.64vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.28-3.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.13-0.62vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.16-1.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.14-2.56vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.32+0.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.75-6.36vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.67-4.12vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.04-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.42Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.22Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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4.79Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.38Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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8.44Tufts University1.140.0%1st Place
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12.63University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.88Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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13.62Connecticut College-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 12.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emily Lau | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Emma Snead | 13.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Gear | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Lera Anders | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 31.7% | 26.7% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Norah Deming | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 19.9% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.