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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+5.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.98+3.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+2.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.07+5.14vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61+2.46vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.41-1.19vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.13+1.98vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.75-1.12vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.07+0.15vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.67+0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.89-4.50vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.16-2.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.15-7.13vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.14Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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4.81Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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6.88Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.15Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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10.59Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.2Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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12.98University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allison Cahn | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Emma Snead | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Bayless | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lau | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 12.7% |
| Grace Gear | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 51.8% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.