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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.75+5.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+4.58vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+2.55vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.89+2.40vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.07+4.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.13+1.93vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.07+1.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.98-2.94vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.41-5.10vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.67-0.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.73-1.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.37vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-5.10vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.32-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.58Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University1.130.1%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.06Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.9Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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10.54Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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8.9Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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12.91University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Slack | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 12.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Gear | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lau | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.0% |
| Emma Snead | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Woodcock | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Bayless | 12.9% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 17.7% | 11.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Miller | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.