Race 13B

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Caroline Bayless 16.3% 14.0% 13.4% 11.4% 9.9% 8.3% 8.5% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Kelsey Slack 7.2% 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 5.8% 6.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1%
Rebecca Read 12.1% 13.0% 9.2% 10.4% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.8% 6.8% 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 8.1% 8.1% 9.3% 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 9.8% 7.2% 7.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Emily Scherer 7.1% 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 7.5% 8.6% 7.1% 8.6% 9.3% 9.1% 7.7% 5.3% 6.2% 2.4% 0.4%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.1% 4.9% 4.8% 3.8% 5.2% 6.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.9% 10.7% 9.6% 10.2% 11.6% 5.7% 0.9%
Emma Snead 12.4% 10.3% 10.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.4% 9.7% 6.4% 5.6% 6.0% 4.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Grace Woodcock 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 6.0% 6.9% 8.9% 9.0% 8.8% 11.3% 10.5% 7.4% 1.5%
Lauren Miller 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 3.3% 3.9% 4.8% 7.7% 13.0% 31.5% 25.2%
Grace Gear 8.9% 7.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.4% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 7.7% 6.6% 6.7% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.4%
Liliana Cunningham 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 5.6% 4.5% 5.3% 5.8% 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.3% 10.3% 7.5% 3.2%
Emily Lau 3.4% 2.9% 3.0% 4.6% 7.2% 6.0% 6.0% 5.1% 7.8% 9.1% 11.2% 13.0% 11.4% 7.8% 1.5%
Ashley Arruda 1.8% 2.8% 2.7% 3.5% 3.7% 4.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 7.0% 9.5% 12.1% 16.0% 16.0% 5.7%
Chloe Holder 10.0% 9.6% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 8.3% 8.7% 8.9% 6.6% 7.2% 4.4% 3.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Norah Deming 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 1.2% 1.3% 1.1% 2.0% 3.4% 3.0% 6.8% 17.0% 60.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.