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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+7.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+5.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.93+6.94vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.45+3.50vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.50+2.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.71+0.52vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+1.25vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.81+1.18vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.70+0.92vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.20-2.26vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.74-5.26vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.79+3.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.53-3.00vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-2.16vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.73-5.45vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.23vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.5Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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7.34Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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7.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.25University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.18Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.92University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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8.74College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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16.23University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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12.84Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.55Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.77U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.77Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Patten | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 11.3% | 63.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 10.4% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.