Race 14B

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Rebecca Read 11.5% 13.3% 11.3% 10.0% 9.9% 8.7% 8.0% 6.8% 7.4% 5.1% 3.3% 2.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Kelsey Slack 7.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.2% 9.0% 8.4% 7.8% 7.9% 8.8% 6.0% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
Emily Scherer 7.1% 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 6.7% 7.9% 8.8% 9.6% 7.8% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 5.3% 1.8% 0.3%
Caroline Bayless 15.8% 14.2% 11.7% 13.0% 8.4% 9.1% 9.5% 5.5% 4.7% 3.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Allison Cahn 8.8% 8.1% 7.8% 6.6% 8.6% 8.5% 9.5% 9.6% 8.9% 6.5% 6.4% 4.7% 4.0% 1.9% 0.1%
Emma Snead 11.1% 10.1% 12.2% 8.3% 12.2% 9.2% 9.0% 7.8% 6.7% 5.0% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Woodcock 5.0% 4.6% 3.9% 5.7% 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 8.8% 8.3% 8.8% 8.9% 11.5% 10.1% 5.9% 1.7%
Grace Gear 9.0% 9.6% 9.9% 8.0% 7.9% 9.4% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 7.5% 5.8% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Liliana Cunningham 3.3% 3.3% 4.9% 4.5% 6.2% 6.6% 6.8% 6.0% 8.7% 9.1% 10.8% 10.3% 10.4% 7.3% 1.8%
Ashley Arruda 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 3.7% 3.3% 4.4% 3.6% 7.1% 6.6% 6.7% 9.7% 11.0% 16.1% 16.2% 4.3%
Chloe Holder 10.0% 10.7% 9.8% 10.4% 8.0% 8.7% 8.6% 7.1% 6.2% 6.8% 6.1% 3.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Emily Lau 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.8% 6.8% 5.7% 4.7% 7.2% 7.1% 9.4% 11.0% 12.3% 12.7% 7.5% 1.2%
Pearl Lattanzi 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 5.5% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 5.0% 6.3% 10.6% 10.1% 12.8% 10.4% 6.5% 2.3%
Lauren Miller 0.8% 1.3% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 1.6% 2.6% 4.6% 4.6% 8.1% 11.6% 30.4% 27.2%
Norah Deming 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 3.1% 7.3% 17.5% 60.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.