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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.15+4.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.75+4.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+3.04vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.07+5.16vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.89+1.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41-2.21vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.16+0.93vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.36vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.07-0.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-3.61vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.13-2.73vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.67-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.32-1.04vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.74Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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9.16Harvard University1.070.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.79Brown University2.410.2%1st Place
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8.93Salve Regina University1.160.0%1st Place
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5.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.28Yale University1.070.0%1st Place
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7.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University1.130.0%1st Place
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10.66Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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10.25Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Read | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liliana Cunningham | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.5% |
| Grace Gear | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Allison Cahn | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Emma Snead | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Lau | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% |
| Emily Scherer | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Grace Woodcock | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 13.6% |
| Lauren Miller | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 15.2% | 50.4% |
| Miya Preyer | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.