← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.66+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Clemson University0.74+1.47vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-0.00+1.58vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston0.93-1.10vs Predicted
-
5University of Georgia0.01-0.54vs Predicted
-
6Auburn University-1.72+1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of South Carolina0.31-2.94vs Predicted
-
8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.13-1.59vs Predicted
-
9Duke University-3.34-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.660.2%1st Place
-
3.47Clemson University0.740.2%1st Place
-
4.58North Carolina State University-0.000.1%1st Place
-
2.9College of Charleston0.930.3%1st Place
-
4.46University of Georgia0.010.1%1st Place
-
7.15Auburn University-1.720.0%1st Place
-
4.06University of South Carolina0.310.1%1st Place
-
6.41Georgia Institute of Technology-1.130.0%1st Place
-
8.56Duke University-3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Shivers | 19.6% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Abbie Probst | 16.9% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Marcom | 9.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 19.9% | 15.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Kaelin Stock | 26.3% | 21.6% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefan Tobler | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| George Koser | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 18.2% | 47.0% | 12.6% |
| Keara Paquette | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 18.3% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Whitehead | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 29.8% | 27.9% | 5.6% |
| Doug Landers | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.