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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.93+8.88vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.79+14.60vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.20+5.82vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.73+6.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.45+1.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.11+5.86vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.50-0.67vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-2.06vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-0.41vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.35-2.86vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.81-1.50vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-6.66vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.70-3.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.71-8.49vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-4.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.71-6.24vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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16.6University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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8.82College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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10.4Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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12.86Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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8.14Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.5Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.34Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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6.51Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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11.39Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 66.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 2.8% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 21.6% | 8.5% |
| Emily Maxwell | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 5.6% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 3.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.