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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.09+4.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.04+4.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+2.69vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.76vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.71+5.43vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.02-0.87vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.22+0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14-1.46vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-1.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-0.95vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.38-8.04vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.25vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.93-4.53vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-4.71vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.01-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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6.0Boston College2.0911.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Naval Academy2.047.4%1st Place
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6.69Brown University1.998.5%1st Place
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6.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.5%1st Place
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11.43Fordham University0.712.0%1st Place
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6.13Tulane University2.0210.2%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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9.19Bowdoin College1.134.6%1st Place
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11.05Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.8%1st Place
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4.96Cornell University2.3815.1%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
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10.47George Washington University0.933.6%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin0.702.3%1st Place
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13.25North Carolina State University0.011.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Bridget Green | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 20.4% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.