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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.44+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.04+0.36vs Predicted
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3Florida State University0.44+0.06vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College-0.45+0.13vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-1.87+0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.29-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Jacksonville University1.440.4%1st Place
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2.36University of South Florida1.040.3%1st Place
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3.06Florida State University0.440.2%1st Place
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4.13Eckerd College-0.450.1%1st Place
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5.51Rollins College-1.870.0%1st Place
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3.95University of Miami-0.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben McKissick-Hawley | 40.0% | 32.8% | 18.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Runnfeldt | 31.1% | 27.4% | 22.0% | 13.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Stone | 15.1% | 19.6% | 25.6% | 25.6% | 12.0% | 2.1% |
| Joshua Cole | 5.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 24.1% | 34.7% | 13.1% |
| Ryan O'Donnell | 0.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 13.2% | 74.2% |
| Joseph Ricca | 7.4% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 25.2% | 32.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.