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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+6.62vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.45+5.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+6.44vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.56vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.20+2.63vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.30vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81+2.08vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.70+1.64vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+1.60vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.73-0.37vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.93-1.91vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.11vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.11-1.42vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-5.71vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.79+0.35vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.35-8.84vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.87-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.74Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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6.6Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.56Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.63College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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10.08Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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10.64University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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11.6Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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10.09University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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6.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.58Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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16.35University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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8.16Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.79Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Solvig Sayre | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 3.1% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 11.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 63.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.