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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.91vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.97+4.01vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+1.99vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+6.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+4.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.04-0.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.05vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.70+1.33vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.71+0.15vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.38-7.12vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.26-0.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.14-5.40vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.13-5.67vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.93-5.42vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.15-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.91Boston College2.0910.1%1st Place
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6.76Brown University1.998.7%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.977.4%1st Place
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5.99Tulane University2.0211.8%1st Place
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11.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.779.3%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Naval Academy2.047.2%1st Place
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8.95Northeastern University1.224.3%1st Place
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11.33University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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11.15Fordham University0.713.4%1st Place
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4.88Cornell University2.3815.1%1st Place
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12.58North Carolina State University0.261.5%1st Place
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8.6Boston University1.145.8%1st Place
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9.33Bowdoin College1.133.9%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University0.932.9%1st Place
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12.92Maine Maritime Academy0.151.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Bridget Green | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.9% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.