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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College-0.37+2.07vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.08-0.28vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.53-0.82vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.78-0.54vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.24-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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1.72Middlebury College1.080.5%1st Place
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2.18Amherst College0.530.3%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-0.780.1%1st Place
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4.57Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucie Rochat | 12.2% | 17.4% | 31.7% | 28.8% | 9.9% |
| Ben Arquit | 50.3% | 32.1% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Adam Gibbs | 29.5% | 35.7% | 23.5% | 10.0% | 1.3% |
| Theodore Janson | 6.6% | 12.2% | 23.9% | 42.7% | 14.6% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 1.4% | 2.6% | 7.2% | 15.1% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.