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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.08+0.74vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+1.05vs Predicted
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3McGill University-0.78+0.45vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.53-1.84vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.24-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Middlebury College1.080.5%1st Place
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3.05Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.45McGill University-0.780.1%1st Place
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2.16Amherst College0.530.3%1st Place
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4.6Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Arquit | 50.9% | 30.3% | 13.4% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Rochat | 10.5% | 18.2% | 33.8% | 30.6% | 6.9% |
| Theodore Janson | 7.7% | 11.3% | 23.9% | 42.9% | 14.2% |
| Adam Gibbs | 29.3% | 37.6% | 22.1% | 9.9% | 1.1% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 1.6% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.