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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.08+0.73vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College-0.37+1.05vs Predicted
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3Amherst College0.53-0.83vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.78-0.54vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.24-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Middlebury College1.080.5%1st Place
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3.05Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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2.17Amherst College0.530.3%1st Place
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3.46McGill University-0.780.1%1st Place
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4.59Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Arquit | 51.9% | 30.0% | 12.4% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Rochat | 10.5% | 19.2% | 31.6% | 32.4% | 6.3% |
| Adam Gibbs | 29.7% | 36.6% | 22.5% | 9.7% | 1.5% |
| Theodore Janson | 6.5% | 11.7% | 26.9% | 38.7% | 16.2% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 1.4% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.