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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.04+6.42vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+4.88vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.02+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.70+7.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.22+3.83vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38-1.03vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-0.27vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93+2.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.97-2.00vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+0.72vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-2.37vs Predicted
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12Fordham University0.71-0.58vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.13-3.58vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.35vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.26-2.57vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.11vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.09-10.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42U. S. Naval Academy2.047.4%1st Place
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6.88Brown University1.998.6%1st Place
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6.12Tulane University2.0210.3%1st Place
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11.1University of Wisconsin0.702.9%1st Place
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8.83Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University2.3814.7%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University0.933.3%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University1.978.6%1st Place
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10.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.6%1st Place
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8.63Boston University1.145.1%1st Place
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11.42Fordham University0.712.5%1st Place
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9.42Bowdoin College1.133.6%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont0.481.9%1st Place
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12.43North Carolina State University0.262.1%1st Place
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12.89Maine Maritime Academy0.151.5%1st Place
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6.16Boston College2.0910.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Bridget Green | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Tiare Sierra | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.2% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.8% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 20.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 24.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.