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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.08+0.72vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.53+0.16vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-0.37+0.06vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.78-0.52vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.24-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.72Middlebury College1.080.5%1st Place
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2.16Amherst College0.530.3%1st Place
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3.06Middlebury College-0.370.1%1st Place
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3.48McGill University-0.780.1%1st Place
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4.58Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Arquit | 50.6% | 31.6% | 13.6% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Adam Gibbs | 30.4% | 35.2% | 23.3% | 10.2% | 0.9% |
| Lucie Rochat | 11.8% | 17.0% | 31.3% | 32.9% | 7.0% |
| Theodore Janson | 5.7% | 13.1% | 24.8% | 40.2% | 16.2% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 1.5% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 75.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.