← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.69+1.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.68+0.35vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.99+0.25vs Predicted
-
4Amherst College0.53-0.09vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-0.76vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University-0.22-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.4Brown University1.690.3%1st Place
-
2.35University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
-
3.25Tufts University0.990.2%1st Place
-
3.91Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
-
4.24University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
-
4.86Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 30.5% | 28.3% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 34.2% | 26.5% | 19.4% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Elena Gonick | 15.5% | 18.5% | 20.9% | 22.1% | 17.1% | 5.9% |
| Adam Gibbs | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 21.2% | 25.0% | 16.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 6.8% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 26.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.