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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.69+1.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.99+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.68-0.65vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.53-0.11vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.22-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Brown University1.690.3%1st Place
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3.24Tufts University0.990.2%1st Place
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2.35University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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3.89Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.88Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William George | 29.4% | 28.4% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 16.5% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 7.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 32.4% | 26.9% | 22.1% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Adam Gibbs | 10.4% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 21.2% | 24.4% | 17.0% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 21.0% | 48.9% |
| Timothy Burns | 7.7% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 19.4% | 27.2% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.