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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.68+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+2.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.69-0.56vs Predicted
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4Amherst College0.53+0.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.99-1.57vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.22-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.01-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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4.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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2.44Brown University1.690.3%1st Place
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4.12Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.43Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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5.17Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Connecticut-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nannig | 30.8% | 29.1% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Timothy Burns | 7.6% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 9.3% |
| William George | 32.2% | 24.9% | 20.5% | 13.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Adam Gibbs | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 22.4% | 16.9% | 6.9% |
| Elena Gonick | 13.7% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Giles Ruck | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 29.7% | 23.8% |
| Colby Brennan | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 18.7% | 56.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.