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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.68+1.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+0.37vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32+1.13vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.99-0.75vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.53-1.02vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.22-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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2.37Brown University1.690.3%1st Place
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4.13University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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3.25Tufts University0.990.2%1st Place
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3.98Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.86Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nannig | 29.9% | 29.8% | 19.4% | 13.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| William George | 33.5% | 26.3% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Timothy Burns | 8.4% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 19.5% | 26.8% | 22.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 15.4% | 17.3% | 23.9% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 6.2% |
| Adam Gibbs | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.