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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.68+1.48vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.53+2.14vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.99+0.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69-1.47vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-0.22+0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.32-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.48-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Rhode Island1.680.3%1st Place
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4.14Amherst College0.530.1%1st Place
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3.49Tufts University0.990.1%1st Place
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2.53Brown University1.690.3%1st Place
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5.32Fairfield University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.320.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Connecticut-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Nannig | 32.6% | 25.5% | 18.5% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Adam Gibbs | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 9.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 14.1% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| William George | 29.7% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Giles Ruck | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 26.5% | 30.7% |
| Timothy Burns | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 14.2% |
| Alliana Snead | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.