← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Rhode Island1.73+0.94vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.88-0.23vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.71-0.20vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University-1.05+0.41vs Predicted
-
5Amherst College-2.30+0.50vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.94University of Rhode Island1.730.4%1st Place
-
1.77Brown University1.880.5%1st Place
-
2.8Tufts University0.710.1%1st Place
-
4.41Fairfield University-1.050.0%1st Place
-
5.5Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
-
4.59University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 35.8% | 39.4% | 20.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 47.4% | 32.1% | 16.9% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 13.8% | 19.3% | 45.3% | 17.0% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Serena Eldredge | 1.3% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 35.0% | 36.9% | 13.2% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 9.8% | 17.9% | 68.7% |
| Elle Bukosky | 1.3% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 31.1% | 40.3% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.