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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.73+0.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.88-0.23vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.71-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23+0.55vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.05-0.52vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.30-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93University of Rhode Island1.730.4%1st Place
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1.77Brown University1.880.5%1st Place
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2.78Tufts University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.48Fairfield University-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.48Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Champney | 36.0% | 39.7% | 20.1% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 47.7% | 31.3% | 17.2% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 13.9% | 19.1% | 45.6% | 18.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Elle Bukosky | 1.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 30.9% | 39.8% | 17.0% |
| Serena Eldredge | 1.0% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 33.8% | 35.9% | 16.4% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 9.8% | 20.8% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.