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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+5.78vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+4.02vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.81+6.61vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+2.99vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.71+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.70+4.23vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.35+0.50vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+1.78vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02-1.32vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.20vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.73-2.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-3.70vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.45-6.69vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.53-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.79-0.48vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.61Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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6.99St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.04Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.23University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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7.5Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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9.61Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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9.93Eckerd College2.730.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Michigan0.790.0%1st Place
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12.22Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Burke | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Patten | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Solvig Sayre | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 5.5% |
| Evelyn Hull | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 63.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 20.8% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.