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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+5.73vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.38+2.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.91vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.02+1.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.04+2.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97+1.01vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+4.17vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.71+3.37vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.13+0.49vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.01+3.09vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.93-0.54vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.99-5.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-4.18vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.48-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.70-3.77vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.15-3.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.14-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.778.3%1st Place
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4.84Cornell University2.3816.4%1st Place
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5.91Boston College2.0910.4%1st Place
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5.95Tulane University2.0210.3%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Naval Academy2.047.2%1st Place
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7.01Roger Williams University1.978.8%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.633.1%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University0.712.6%1st Place
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9.49Bowdoin College1.133.8%1st Place
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13.09North Carolina State University0.011.8%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University0.933.6%1st Place
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6.7Brown University1.997.6%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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11.23University of Wisconsin0.702.5%1st Place
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12.73Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
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8.57Boston University1.144.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Bridget Green | 16.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 26.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 21.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.