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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+0.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.73-0.10vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.71-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23+0.55vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.05-0.51vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-2.30-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8Brown University1.880.4%1st Place
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1.9University of Rhode Island1.730.4%1st Place
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2.78Tufts University0.710.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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4.49Fairfield University-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.48Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 42.6% | 38.3% | 16.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Champney | 40.9% | 33.4% | 21.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 13.9% | 18.8% | 45.9% | 18.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Elle Bukosky | 0.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 31.2% | 39.5% | 17.0% |
| Serena Eldredge | 1.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 34.1% | 35.9% | 16.4% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 9.9% | 20.8% | 66.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.