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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+0.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.71+0.90vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.73-1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut-1.33+1.25vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.05-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.23-0.91vs Predicted
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7Amherst College-2.30-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Brown University1.880.4%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University0.710.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Rhode Island1.730.4%1st Place
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5.25University of Connecticut-1.330.0%1st Place
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4.87Fairfield University-1.050.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.230.0%1st Place
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6.12Amherst College-2.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 44.6% | 34.4% | 15.4% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sheridan | 12.7% | 19.1% | 43.1% | 17.6% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Champney | 37.6% | 37.3% | 19.2% | 5.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Woodward | 0.7% | 2.1% | 6.0% | 18.4% | 26.2% | 28.9% | 17.7% |
| Serena Eldredge | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 24.2% | 28.9% | 22.8% | 11.0% |
| Elle Bukosky | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 22.3% | 25.1% | 28.1% | 14.6% |
| Katherine Boback | 0.8% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 18.8% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.