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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+1.31vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.91+1.08vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.70-0.81vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86-0.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31College of Charleston2.640.3%1st Place
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3.08Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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2.19Tulane University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.14Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 32.1% | 28.4% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 14.3% | 18.7% | 24.8% | 29.3% | 12.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 36.5% | 26.5% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.8% |
| Paula Resto | 13.1% | 19.6% | 23.8% | 27.7% | 15.8% |
| Mary Toomey | 4.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.