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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.64+1.30vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.70+0.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.91+0.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.86-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.70-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3College of Charleston2.640.3%1st Place
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2.19Tulane University2.700.4%1st Place
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3.05Old Dominion University1.910.2%1st Place
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3.16Jacksonville University1.860.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara0.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marian Frances Williams | 33.0% | 27.9% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 35.1% | 27.6% | 23.2% | 11.7% | 2.4% |
| Bridget Groble | 15.5% | 17.9% | 24.9% | 29.0% | 12.7% |
| Paula Resto | 12.9% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 29.3% | 15.8% |
| Mary Toomey | 3.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.